Regular-Frequency
0x927b723f4f47d5aebb24fa8b24312416017bc7de
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.42
Realised
$-2.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Nepal vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw?
10 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
5 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.16
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
4 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
2 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- UNO MILLE
Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs UNO MILLE (+1.5)
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.00Jun 10, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$5.68Jun 10, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.79Jun 10, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.03Jun 10, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$5.04Jun 10, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.86Jun 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.05Jun 9, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 26, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.00May 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.05May 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?$4.51May 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.90May 12, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLServices Down Parlay$0.03May 12, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?$2.84May 12, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.90May 12, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 12, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.50May 6, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.05May 6, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.05May 4, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 11:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.