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AIExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?

Probability

12¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 6.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5987.1h

    LOW
  • 12:55Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -13.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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