Visible-Hackwork
0x92be01de38bd5487cbb74df5cf4a30e71481368c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
149833 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-209.92
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
90000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-109.98
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
30000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-219.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 10?
21385 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
11250 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
11000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
9249 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
1949 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 3, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$207.92Jun 2, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.9KJun 1, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$10.36May 29, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.7KMay 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$3.7KMay 14, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.7KMay 14, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$10.40May 11, 08:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.45May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$10.00May 9, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 9, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 9, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$100.00May 9, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 9, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 9, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 9, 07:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.13May 9, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.97May 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$3.0KMay 8, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $590.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 06:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.