Loose-Residence
0x92d78827ca9490124c499c4f61f10812dc03c07b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.73
Total PnL
$-265.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
499 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.49
$-4.68
- YES
Will Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
499 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.25
$-7.95
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
15276 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-135.26
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
1068 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-117.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.00Jul 3, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.00Jul 3, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.00Jul 3, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.00Jul 1, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.00Jul 1, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$0.99Jun 29, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$37.89Jun 29, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$3.70Jun 28, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$10.41Jun 28, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$4.85Jun 28, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$11.49Jun 28, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$10.50Jun 28, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$17.22Jun 28, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$23.70Jun 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$8.65Jun 28, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.84Jun 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.96Jun 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.48Jun 3, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 3, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$103.96Jun 2, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $284.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.