0x92dd2e77439eacba15bcf2efd5e0e50bbb90b995
0x92dd2e77439eacba15bcf2efd5e0e50bbb90b995
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$9.57
Total PnL
$-2.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$1.71
$-0.29
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.13
$-0.77
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.01
$-1.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026?$2.02Aug 2, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?$2.03Aug 2, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$2.06Aug 2, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$1.91Aug 2, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.91Aug 2, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$1.91Aug 2, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.91Aug 2, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$2.03Aug 1, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$2.00Aug 1, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$2.00Aug 1, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$2.03Aug 1, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?$2.67Aug 1, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$1.96Jul 31, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 31, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?$0.00Jul 30, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$2.03Jul 30, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?$2.03Jul 30, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?$1.10Jul 29, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 28, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?$3.00Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 23:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.