Watchful-Catastrophe
0x932a6045622ed4e897be59041a23bc8ed9f0bd8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$408.45
Total PnL
$-356.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
800 shares @ 21.9¢·now 18.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$151.20
$-23.77
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 24.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.95
$17.96
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$60.49
$43.50
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$40.00
$26.00
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
400 shares @ 7.4¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.20
$-5.40
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
200 shares @ 9.2¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$18.60
$0.20
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
200 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
200 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-36.30
- YES
Will the US strike Syria next?
200 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
US military action on Yemen before July?
100 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-32.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$9.20Jun 4, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$9.20Jun 4, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$18.60Jun 4, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$10.36Jun 4, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$8.14Jun 4, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$36.80Jun 1, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$22.67Jun 1, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$99.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$98.99May 31, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$5.56May 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$7.24May 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$7.74May 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$5.62May 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$5.23May 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$6.28May 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$9.96May 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$7.75May 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$7.78May 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$6.02May 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$5.75May 31, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $26.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".