Cautious-Leprosy
0x932a8634e7322788e7b4f615371431732a0a9e72
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.93
Total PnL
$-38.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will "Cancer" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
8 shares @ 12.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will "AI" be said 20+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
3 shares @ 36.4¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?
162 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Michael van Gerwen win the PDC World Darts Championship?
98 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gian van Veen win the PDC World Darts Championship?
41 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.02May 14, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Cancer" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$5.05May 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.04May 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.03May 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.03May 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AI" be said 20+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.03May 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?$2.00Apr 25, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?$5.00Apr 25, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?$6.17Apr 1, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael van Gerwen win the PDC World Darts Championship?$5.00Dec 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?$5.00Dec 30, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gian van Veen win the PDC World Darts Championship?$3.00Dec 30, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?$5.00Nov 29, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FCSB win on 2025-11-27?$1.00Nov 27, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSV win on 2025-11-26?$4.50Nov 26, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Páfos FC win on 2025-11-26?$1.00Nov 26, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2025-11-26?$1.00Nov 26, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?$1.01Nov 15, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?$5.00Nov 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?$15.00Nov 14, 12:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 12:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".