0x933a0972719d145df616c26123dbd6fd8b43a660
0x933a0972719d145df616c26123dbd6fd8b43a660
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$40.03
Total PnL
$-59.50
Realised
$-10.28
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20 shares @ 54.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.97
$5.93
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6 shares @ 30.2¢·now 68.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.13
$2.32
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.11
$0.11
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.69
$0.89
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.62
$-2.27
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$-0.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00May 28, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00May 21, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00May 18, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00May 18, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00May 13, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$3.53May 13, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.55May 1, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$12.40May 1, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$33.64May 1, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.00May 1, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.01May 1, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 1, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 22, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 22, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$39.91Apr 22, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$4.12Apr 20, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$4.17Apr 20, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?$4.26Apr 20, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$4.44Apr 20, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$10.31Apr 20, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".