Austere-Gathering
0x9363f61a760bc999c85a27263c784df33c16440c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$30.28
Total PnL
$-1.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
13 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$12.73
$5.73
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$6.41
$1.41
- NO
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.98
$0.98
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
3 shares @ 77.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.57
$0.57
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$2.35
$1.36
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Ohio visit?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
5 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.00Mar 9, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Ohio visit?$5.00Mar 9, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 9, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$5.00Mar 9, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$1.00Mar 9, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.00Mar 9, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$1.00Mar 9, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 9, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$2.00Mar 9, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$2.00Mar 9, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.00Mar 9, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 9, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.00Mar 9, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 12:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.