Blissful-Structure
0x93b356349d65877d0b2570f174b4688682f6893e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$212.76
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$-9.57
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
1500 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.75
$-26.25
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.1¢·now 34.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.25
$18.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
741 shares @ 10.1¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.10
$-50.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
110 shares @ 14.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.85
$-0.85
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
500 shares @ 8.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$14.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.8¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.35
$-4.45
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
900 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.70
$-13.30
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
26 shares @ 29.5¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.66
$-0.14
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?
35 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$5.47
$-0.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?$6.15Jun 30, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Jun 30, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.05Jun 30, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.06Jun 30, 11:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by June 30?$4.95Jun 29, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$4.97Jun 29, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by June 30?$0.05Jun 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$0.03Jun 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 7?$5.00Jun 29, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$32.00Jun 29, 13:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$7.50Jun 27, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $11.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.