Noteworthy-Straw
0x93d7f513c0831e66ee079974b162d8341757c697
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-57.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 17?
375 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 4?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.90 February 2-8?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 9?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 6?
105 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.06Aug 8, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.05Aug 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0.06Aug 8, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMBeijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5$48.00Aug 8, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBeijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5$31.68Aug 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$0.06Aug 7, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.07Aug 7, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.05Aug 7, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.05Aug 6, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$0.05Aug 6, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.01Aug 6, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.00Aug 6, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.05Aug 6, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.01Aug 6, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?$89.91May 1, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$103.10May 1, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$103.10May 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$103.01Apr 30, 14:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$200.74Apr 29, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $69.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.