Forked-Syndicate
0x93d972f834d7abed1e6391917d4efe3457f5ad95
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$272.39
Total PnL
$-395.60
Realised
$217.24
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?
50 shares @ 87.9¢·now 79.8¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$39.92
$-4.03
- NO
Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
50 shares @ 59.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$26.25
$-3.25
- NO
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
50 shares @ 64.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.50
$-9.50
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
50 shares @ 54.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.75
$-8.25
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
50 shares @ 54.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.25
$-8.75
- NO
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?
50 shares @ 42.1¢·now 35.4¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$17.70
$-3.35
- NO
Will Trump say "Smithsonian" in August?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$16.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$15.90
$-0.30
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
50 shares @ 47.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.25
$-8.25
- YES
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?
50 shares @ 51.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.50
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Leon Goretzka join AC Milan?$0.84Aug 14, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$2.76Aug 12, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split$6.84Aug 12, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?$35.00Aug 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$6.50Aug 11, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Central Casting" in August?$4.00Aug 11, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?$16.40Aug 11, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Central Casting" in August?$2.00Aug 10, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?$6.20Aug 9, 02:50 UTC
- REWARD$3.93Aug 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chuk Anyanwu come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?$3.00Aug 8, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?$7.40Aug 8, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$4.00Aug 8, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?$16.20Aug 8, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.26Aug 8, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?$7.50Aug 8, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$27.00Aug 8, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$27.00Aug 8, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.15Aug 8, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$5.37Aug 8, 03:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 23:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 22:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.