Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Probability
65¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-16.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5986.2h
- 13:45SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 65¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026Ambiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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