Thoughtful-Dueling
0x94573bac9fc4517574b62c1d4d67759b660e22a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$220.32
Total PnL
$0.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
71 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$70.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
40 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$40.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
35 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$35.12
$0.12
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on June 10?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$20.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$70.03Jun 10, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$10.00Jun 10, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$5.01Jun 10, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 10, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?$20.07Jun 10, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on June 10?$20.00Jun 10, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$35.01Jun 10, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$40.01Jun 10, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $860 end of February?$10.11Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$19.73Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$20.02Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$20.02Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple reach $336 in February?$20.04Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?$20.04Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $290 end of February?$20.08Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple dip to $172 in February?$30.03Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $300 end of February?$30.09Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of February?$30.21Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$19.67Feb 18, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$20.00Feb 18, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $30.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 13:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.