Identical-Carp
0x94788aae01f8208a6de1b17622ae68505d92d6d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$201.91
Total PnL
$-395.22
Realised
$17.23
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?
50 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$48.98
$1.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?
40 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$37.20
$-0.80
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
40 shares @ 93.8¢·now 89.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.88
$-1.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 18?
30 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$29.98
$1.18
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.15
$6.55
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
70 shares @ 16.1¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.91
$1.64
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.95
$1.65
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.88
$-1.13
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.99
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
117 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-9.63
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?$47.67Jun 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 18?$28.85Jun 17, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?$38.09Jun 17, 22:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$20.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$30.00Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$40.00Jun 12, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?$40.00Jun 12, 03:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$30.00Jun 11, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5$20.00Jun 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5$18.60Jun 11, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5$34.54Jun 11, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$29.36Jun 11, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?$20.00Jun 11, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $21.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.