Majestic-Testimonial
0x94805de5c2970255f295626323cdb5add97af463
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$237.31
Total PnL
$-459.14
Realised
$20.59
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of July 27 2026?
43 shares @ 35.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$31.18
$16.13
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
85 shares @ 46.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.87
$-13.13
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
56 shares @ 55.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$26.04
$-4.76
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$21.25
$1.25
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
27 shares @ 73.7¢·now 67.4¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$18.29
$-1.71
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
155 shares @ 18.1¢·now 8.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$13.27
$-14.72
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$12.45
$2.45
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on July 29?
100 shares @ 27.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.50
$-15.50
- NO
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.37
$1.37
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.67
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on July 29?$27.00Jul 29, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of July 27 2026?$40.00Jul 28, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 28, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$5.20Jul 28, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of July 27 2026?$14.04Jul 28, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of July 27 2026?$1.89Jul 28, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of July 27 2026?$1.89Jul 27, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of July 27 2026?$1.89Jul 27, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of July 27 2026?$1.89Jul 27, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of July 27 2026?$15.44Jul 27, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$20.00Jul 25, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$11.78Jul 25, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$10.00Jul 24, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$7.25Jul 24, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$17.01Jul 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$25.00Jul 23, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$151.65Jul 23, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$0.00Jul 23, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?$0.00Jul 23, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$13.36Jul 22, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $17.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.