0x94889b1ef66b48e7f4d55c841224d07c146f6b27
0x94889b1ef66b48e7f4d55c841224d07c146f6b27
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$49.18
Total PnL
$0.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.71
$0.08
- YES
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
6 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$5.51
$0.06
- YES
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?
7 shares @ 81.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$5.20
$-0.25
- YES
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?
4 shares @ 89.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$3.54
$0.27
- NO
Will Clyde Welford be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$3.24
$-0.03
- YES
Will Jack Bergman be the MI-01 Republican nominee?
2 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.21
$0.03
- YES
Will Amir Hassan be the MI-08 Republican nominee?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.16
$-0.02
- YES
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.15
$-0.03
- YES
Will Terri DeBoer be the MI-03 Republican nominee?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.15
$-0.03
- YES
Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?
2 shares @ 88.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.07
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$1.11Jul 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$1.11Jul 28, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?$1.09Jul 28, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 10–15%?$4.63Jul 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?$1.10Jul 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?$1.10Jul 28, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?$1.10Jul 28, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$1.09Jul 28, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?$2.18Jul 28, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$0.01Jul 28, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?$1.10Jul 26, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?$1.10Jul 26, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?$1.11Jul 26, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$2.74Jul 26, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$1.10Jul 26, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.03Jul 26, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.02Jul 26, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.17Jul 26, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.05Jul 26, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.59Jul 26, 01:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.