Attractive-Engineering
0x94aba44f15d4160fdb3d671000157408a00d6bb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$160.32
Total PnL
$-36.22
Realised
$-4.90
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?
110 shares @ 68.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$66.55
$-8.25
- NO
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 79.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.25
$2.75
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.52
$0.58
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
13 shares @ 36.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.88
$0.20
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.62
$-0.33
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
13 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$-0.32
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.30
$-0.61
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$-0.60
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.09
$-1.47
- NO
Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.98
$0.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Gold" or "Golden" on Truth Social this week?$104.00Jul 22, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?$7.02Jul 20, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$66.37Jul 20, 22:07 UTC
- REWARD$2.63Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?$16.32Jul 18, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?$11.50Jul 18, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?$5.86Jul 18, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Gold" or "Golden" on Truth Social this week?$74.88Jul 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$0.27Jul 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$5.95Jul 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?$5.86Jul 18, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?$27.20Jul 18, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?$41.74Jul 18, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.25Jul 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?$7.40Jul 18, 02:28 UTC
- REWARD$18.99Jul 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$4.05Jul 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$4.00Jul 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$3.00Jul 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.00Jul 17, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.