Unused-Icing
0x94ad7c225e887e9b6b47f8da11a6729258218218
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$16.20
Total PnL
$-111.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.63
$1.63
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.57
$-15.43
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?
256 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?
163 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?
92 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.39
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
82 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 16?
61 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.86Mar 31, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$17.24Mar 31, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?$5.00Jan 31, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?$5.00Jan 31, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$10.80Jan 29, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?$16.00Jan 28, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January?$13.60Jan 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$20.00Jan 27, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$24.41Jan 27, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?$6.39Jan 23, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?$5.00Jan 23, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$10.00Jan 23, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$10.00Jan 23, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January?$20.00Jan 23, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$20.00Jan 23, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?$34.58Jan 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$36.81Jan 23, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$36.81Jan 22, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?$30.00Jan 22, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$20.22Jan 22, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $20.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 08:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 17:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.