Stylish-Establishment
0x952d11ebff81d6bd3185e608ed3515b94618ab8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$593.48
Total PnL
$-834.84
Realised
$-3.66
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
933 shares @ 8.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$141.40
$66.74
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
128 shares @ 46.6¢·now 60.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$76.95
$17.48
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
886 shares @ 4.9¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.93
$7.53
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
54 shares @ 92.6¢·now 92.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.93
$-0.00
- YES
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$47.04
$-2.72
- NO
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48 shares @ 61.4¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$25.89
$-3.83
- DOWN
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
38 shares @ 41.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$25.45
$9.68
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 57.5¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.09
$-1.30
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
24 shares @ 70.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.18
$1.03
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
26 shares @ 66.5¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$16.38
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$16.03Jun 26, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.10Jun 26, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$10.03Jun 26, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMTürkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5$4.77Jun 26, 04:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMEcuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5$10.14Jun 25, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5$3.01Jun 25, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$20.86Jun 25, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$15.51Jun 25, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$15.55Jun 25, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEcuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5$6.08Jun 25, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$61.99Jun 25, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$14.83Jun 25, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.59Jun 25, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$31.94Jun 25, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.81Jun 25, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$43.05Jun 25, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.03Jun 25, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$8.75Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.