Assured-Canopy
0x95486d4587f673c725ce85c4e0f32520223e487b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$10.78
Total PnL
$-7.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.70
$-0.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.49
$-0.01
- YES
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.51
$-0.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
590 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on October 31?
350 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Sora be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?$2.00Jul 23, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?$1.50Jul 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?$2.10Jul 22, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$2.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$2.70Jul 20, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$74.12Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$73.91Jul 1, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill gas hit (Low) $3.50 by May 31?$4.02Jun 2, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?$3.02Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$1.01Jun 1, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$61.99May 31, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.03May 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$61.81May 30, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$6.01May 30, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?$2.00May 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in May?$3.03May 30, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$2.02May 30, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in May?$3.00May 27, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$51.86May 26, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$51.71May 26, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $17.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.