Favorite-Eaglet
0x955bbe3d2ccc3f8cef39e8329eda87837e2c913e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-112.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
1369 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on April 25?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on April 25?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
532 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 25?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 26?
380 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 25?
272 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 26?
211 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 26?
190 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$4.00May 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$3.53May 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?$1.05May 6, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.46May 6, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$64.00May 6, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 6, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?$1.05May 6, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.10May 6, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$33.91May 6, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$5.18May 6, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?$1.00May 5, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 5, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.04May 5, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 5, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00May 5, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00May 5, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$22.04May 5, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin today?$1.00Apr 25, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1PM ET$1.64Apr 24, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 17:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.