Adolescent-Trousers
0x95bf944dd22691364154fb436ee922798566e00b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$320.4K
Total PnL
$34.6K
Realised
$5.8K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
77614 shares @ 83.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$77.0K
$12.4K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
46778 shares @ 74.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.1K
$4.1K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
34235 shares @ 94.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.6K
$1.1K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
31664 shares @ 94.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.3K
$1.3K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
30028 shares @ 91.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.4K
$1.9K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
29425 shares @ 79.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$24.3K
$806.52
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
15977 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.8K
$785.70
- NO
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
12205 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.2K
$425.18
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
13655 shares @ 79.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.1K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10402 shares @ 61.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$10.2K
$3.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$152.00Jun 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$60.85Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$760.68Jun 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$33.83Jun 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$67.63Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$4.56Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$386.86Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$169.14Jun 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$584.27Jun 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$86.26Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$16.91Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$9.11Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$225.20Jun 13, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$331.28Jun 13, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$22.78Jun 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$111.48Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1.1KJun 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$5.6KJun 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$9.78Jun 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$0.23Jun 13, 03:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 13, 09:30 UTC → Jun 13, 09:25 UTC
- SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$5.6K@99¢Jun 13, 09:25 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$5.6K
1 trades
30d volume
$5.6K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
$5.6K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.