Worrisome-Fat-Counterpart
0x95d435fb3a866b8f9cad5e246dc784f249df72a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
141
Open notional
$86.12
Total PnL
$-71.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 141- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.11
$0.21
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.16
$2.16
- YES
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- YES
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.30
$1.30
- NO
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.76
$0.02
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.67
$-0.02
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.67
$0.06
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.65
$0.65
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?$1.39Jun 13, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$3.23Jun 12, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.02Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$1.04Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.00Jun 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$1.04Jun 11, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$2.13Jun 11, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?$1.30Jun 11, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$1.00Jun 10, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.02Jun 10, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?$1.01Jun 10, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$1.00Jun 10, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?$1.01Jun 10, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$1.00Jun 10, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$4.00Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$1.03Jun 9, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$1.00Jun 9, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 9?$1.00Jun 9, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$2.97Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.