Personal-Decrease
0x961c8be299f230fc6935872051b16896286ea310
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$122.11
Total PnL
$-5.45
Realised
$-0.51
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Park Seong-hoon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$30.00
$0.09
- NO
Will Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
28 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.96
$0.10
- NO
Will Greg Lopez win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
26 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.87
$-0.08
- NO
Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
19 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.00
$0.08
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.38
$-3.62
- YES
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
600 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.30
$-0.30
- YES
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
300 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$4.65
$0.75
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
300 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-1.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$4.09Jun 10, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.86Jun 10, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.80Jun 10, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.09Jun 10, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$2.20Jun 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$3.00Jun 8, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.68Jun 8, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.72Jun 8, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7.68Jun 8, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?$3.33Jun 7, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.81Jun 6, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$19.96Jun 6, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.83Jun 6, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.62Jun 6, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.49Jun 6, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.71Jun 6, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.82Jun 6, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.16Jun 5, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?$4.28Jun 5, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.