Lined-Mantel
0x965a3db8f764437f2dcd99e67be8e13a33a8b21e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.74
Total PnL
$-2.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
24 shares @ 8.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 13.7¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 11.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-17?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-19?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?$2.27May 25, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?$1.02May 25, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.07May 8, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-19?$1.00Apr 18, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-17?$1.00Apr 18, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$0.00Apr 18, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMAny of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?$0.00Apr 18, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$0.00Apr 18, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.04Apr 18, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$0.00Apr 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.87Apr 7, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$10.16Apr 7, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 7, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 7, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$1.00Apr 2, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$1.00Apr 1, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?$1.00Mar 31, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$2.31Mar 29, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".