Closed-Priest
0x96728f7fc2c18c30b2344e85b1a266468c474289
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$72.88
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$82.63
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.43
$-3.57
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
111 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$9.45
$-1.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
188 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$8.34
$-6.66
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
54 shares @ 36.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.66
$-18.34
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
8991 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-57.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET
1685 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-21.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
342 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET
340 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.25Jul 11, 23:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals$13.99Jul 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 2+ goals$18.75Jul 10, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$21.19Jul 10, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$53.25Jul 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$32.66Jul 4, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-01?$66.28Jul 1, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-01?$15.36Jul 1, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $14.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.