Flippant-Printer
0x9687a9407ac5a841f7f2acde9746a0abb6154b4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$48.85
Total PnL
$-121.66
Realised
$22.18
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20 shares @ 61.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.10
$-0.20
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?
13 shares @ 87.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.95
$-0.74
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.90
$-0.40
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
11 shares @ 90.7¢·now 60.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.64
$-3.34
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
12 shares @ 45.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.78
$-1.62
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 75.4¢·now 75.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.09
$-0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.98
$0.13
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.98
$0.12
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 84.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$0.10
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.48
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$11.80Jul 22, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$5.92Jul 22, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.98Jul 22, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$16.45Jul 22, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 22, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.40Jul 22, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.00Jul 20, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$7.31Jul 19, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.57Jul 19, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?$10.30Jul 19, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$10.60Jul 19, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$7.61Jul 15, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$9.33Jul 15, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.38Jul 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.18Jul 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.75Jul 15, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.27Jul 15, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$18.51Jul 15, 04:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$9.98Jul 14, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $8.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.