Hot-Ambulance
0x96df0037c377b23cb5474594c6a86d9971681f97
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$21.2K
Total PnL
$2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
20000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.3K
$2.0K
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
500 shares @ 55.0¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$458.25
$183.25
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.86
$10.86
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
109 shares @ 91.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.02
$6.02
- NO
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
110 shares @ 91.1¢·now 94.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$103.40
$3.40
- YES
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
100 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$98.69
$0.20
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.33
$-1.67
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
100 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$98.15
$-0.35
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?
100 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$98.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
100 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$98.05
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.92Jul 14, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.81Jul 14, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.46Jul 14, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in June?$4.94Jul 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in June?$4.94Jul 14, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.02Jul 14, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$8.21Jul 14, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$8.70Jul 14, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.00Jul 14, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Jul 14, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$4.93Jul 14, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$4.59Jul 14, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$4.75Jul 14, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.21Jul 14, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$5.11Jul 14, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$4.85Jul 14, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$4.90Jul 14, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.98Jul 14, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$0.28Jul 14, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$98.22Jul 14, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $31.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.