0x96f86030af4b406cf9ec8d17cd15d582994a9dca
0x96f86030af4b406cf9ec8d17cd15d582994a9dca
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$462.10
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
457 shares @ 71.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$456.74
$129.08
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 23.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.38
$-0.63
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- TATE
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
2842 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
42 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-22.71
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Suns
23 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$327.66Mar 16, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$327.66Mar 16, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$245.95Mar 8, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$245.96Mar 7, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$213.34Mar 4, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$213.33Mar 4, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$130.81Feb 26, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on February 7?$1.08Feb 26, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$28.99Feb 26, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$32.26Feb 26, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?$40.00Feb 26, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$2.92Feb 26, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$25.56Feb 26, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$22.79Feb 26, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Suns$8.00Feb 21, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Suns$5.00Feb 21, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?$36.20Feb 7, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.00Feb 7, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3.00Feb 7, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.00Feb 7, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $780.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 04:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.