Common-Motivation
0x97048c1cd1ce295f9bfdf9f222efac2722938e26
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$14.83
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$6.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
539 shares @ 14.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.83
$-63.30
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
2324 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 13, 2026?
2256 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-45.12
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 29, 2026 (ET)?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$148.00Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$194.33Jun 11, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$101.30May 1, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$151.71May 1, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$250.00May 1, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$25.79Apr 19, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00Apr 11, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$50.00Apr 9, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$50.00Apr 9, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$500.00Apr 7, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$59.52Apr 1, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "N Word" in March?$111.00Apr 1, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?$55.19Mar 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$4.68Mar 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.00Mar 25, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$192.32Mar 25, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?$25.00Mar 24, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?$25.00Mar 24, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?$50.00Mar 24, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Mar 24, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $38.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.