Joint-Leader
0x97060c8457f1fca16e025a4495f4526776d2ae6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$4.51
Total PnL
$-227.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
101 shares @ 9.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.56
$-7.44
- YES
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.95
$-1.65
- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1633 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
367 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 27?
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
39 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-27?
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- EVERTON FC
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCrystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5$10.42May 12, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5$5.08May 7, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Everton FC (-1.5)$5.12May 7, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?$10.19May 7, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$19.52May 5, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?$8.00Apr 19, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$4.77Apr 9, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$10.00Feb 8, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.81Feb 2, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-01-31?$5.00Jan 31, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?$5.00Jan 26, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Jan 25, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.00Jan 23, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.00Jan 20, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?$17.65Jan 19, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?$3.00Jan 18, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?$3.00Jan 18, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt vs. Nigeria end in a draw?$16.13Jan 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt vs. Nigeria end in a draw?$5.00Jan 16, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 03:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.