Charming-Representative
0x973fbca275912082aace131e32b909ce9f4672cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$330.84
Total PnL
$-191.95
Realised
$40.73
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
159 shares @ 65.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.62
$10.08
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.37
$3.37
- YES
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?
84 shares @ 45.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.47
$-2.53
- NO
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
77 shares @ 25.8¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.70
$-5.30
- NO
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
30 shares @ 65.9¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.50
$-6.50
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$12.04
$-2.96
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
19 shares @ 53.9¢·now 53.1¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$9.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
128 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.98
$-1.02
- YES
Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$10.18Jun 10, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$10.37Jun 10, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$15.37Jun 10, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.19Jun 9, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$20.27Jun 9, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$20.59Jun 9, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$10.37Jun 9, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$100.44Jun 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in June?$5.17Jun 9, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 9-11 times in June?$10.26Jun 9, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 6-8 times in June?$38.84Jun 9, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$20.70Jun 9, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$20.31Jun 9, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$20.32Jun 9, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$10.73Jun 9, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$396.25Jun 9, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$284.18Jun 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$78.69Jun 9, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$74.70Jun 9, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$132.13Jun 9, 00:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $63.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.