Runny-Crow
0x975710a6b8d7c51e49a417101a6552dc12a92dbf
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$107.24
Total PnL
$-111.32
Realised
$-9.70
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?
46 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$46.25
$1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 7?
21 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$21.00
$19.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 29?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.00
$3.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 9?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$5.50
$0.50
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.45
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 29?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$5.00
$2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 10?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$4.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 10?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$3.55
$-1.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?
18 shares @ 27.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$2.66
$-2.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 29?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.45
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 10?$5.208h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?$5.188h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 10?$5.168h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 9?$5.178h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?$10.019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?$10.019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?$10.019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?$10.019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?$5.029h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?$0.7210h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?$0.5610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?$0.4810h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 7?$1.051d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$3.431d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$4.041d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 7?$0.111d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 7?$0.202d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 7?$0.642d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 7?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 7?$1.102d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
