Robust-Kick
0x97a77e8fc7c974523364a28e416b0e9fcd630cba
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
121
Open notional
$138.97
Total PnL
$-336.17
Realised
$-24.93
Win rate
39%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
57 shares @ 35.8¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.68
$-3.59
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 34.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.49
$5.55
- T1
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)
17 shares @ 62.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$10.17
$-0.55
- YES
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$2.50
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 62.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.27
$3.51
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
35 shares @ 38.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$8.93
$-4.62
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
17 shares @ 36.0¢·now 41.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$7.23
$1.02
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
7 shares @ 77.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.96
$0.23
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.75
$-1.05
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
24 shares @ 20.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.74
$-0.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?$3.21Jun 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.00Jun 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.90Jun 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$4.99Jun 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 U.S. Open?$4.99Jun 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$2.57Jun 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.54Jun 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?$6.04Jun 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$5.69Jun 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$5.95Jun 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$2.79Jun 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$6.31Jun 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.73Jun 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$3.34Jun 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$1.30Jun 20, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5$1.03Jun 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5$1.00Jun 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 20, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5$2.41Jun 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$1.21Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
39% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 02:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.