Content-Remark
0x97c61828a703bf92c7e472e4247775514a306587
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$13.02
Total PnL
$-21.55
Realised
$-5.59
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.91
$-0.00
- NO
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.76
$0.00
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.69
$-0.00
- NO
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.64
$-0.00
- NO
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$-0.00
- NO
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$-0.00
- NO
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.14
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 30?
213 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.06
$0.08
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
20 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.34Jul 29, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.59Jul 29, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.59Jul 29, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.74Jul 29, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$31.44Jul 29, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?$1.46Jul 29, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.37Jul 29, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$31.48Jul 29, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.15Jul 29, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.53Jul 29, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.44Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.41Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.33Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.25Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.12Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.79Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.35Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.98Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.18Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.57Jul 29, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.