Arctic-Perp-Probation
0x97d14271cec7c425b48a40c77188394479774b40
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$11.16
Total PnL
$-48.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
63 shares @ 15.8¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.85
$-1.15
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.16
$-8.84
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.81
$-9.19
- YES
Another Canada election called by June 30?
136 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.34
$-9.66
- YES
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?
103 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
79 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 3, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$10.00Apr 2, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$10.00Apr 2, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 2, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Canada election called by June 30?$10.00Apr 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$10.00Apr 2, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.