US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 104h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $7.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System. Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify. Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.