Ill-Informed-Commotion
0x983750c71eb09715746f3944caa9905a58f78bf8
Quality score
86/100
Open positions
79
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-466.22
Realised
$300.28
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?
217 shares @ 76.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$209.68
$43.74
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$101.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$100.00
$9.00
- NO
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
100 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$99.99
$70.99
- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
150 shares @ 18.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.25
$67.85
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
350 shares @ 14.6¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.81
$41.75
- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
366 shares @ 21.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.67
$12.03
- NO
Anduril IPO before 2027?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.50
$13.50
- NO
Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?
100 shares @ 83.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.50
$-3.95
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
100 shares @ 37.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.00
$31.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0113h ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- YIELD$0.018d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- YIELD$0.0110d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$14.6510d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$2.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$22.5010d ago
- YIELD$0.0111d ago
- YIELD$0.0112d ago
- YIELD$0.0113d ago
- TRADESELLPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?$43.1613d ago
- YIELD$0.0114d ago
- YIELD$0.0115d ago
- YIELD$0.0116d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $10.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 34d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.