Windy-Vector
0x98597da16fd05b56941d809e16aa86f9ebd41650
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.9K
Realised
$181.43
Win rate
45%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
253201 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-759.86
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
21126 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-641.56
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
17750 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-753.09
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
16000 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-929.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
10368 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-133.51
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-165.24
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
9423 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
5282 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-54.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 8?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)$8.60Jul 12, 01:17 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.49Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)$20.00Jul 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance AND UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance AND UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)$21.99Jul 11, 20:06 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.54Jul 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.52Jul 10, 00:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$25.32Jul 9, 21:09 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.54Jul 8, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jun 27, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.64Jun 27, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?$1.86Jun 27, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$0.59Jun 27, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$4.22Jun 27, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$15.73Jun 27, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$9.68Jun 27, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$10.21Jun 27, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs$0.00Jun 27, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3PM ET$61.21Jun 27, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2PM ET$0.01Jun 27, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2PM ET$21.10Jun 27, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $18.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 01:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.