0x987347485d331899713e7b7045c6a10b5e2dc3a0
0x987347485d331899713e7b7045c6a10b5e2dc3a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$27.96
Total PnL
$-231.24
Realised
$-95.97
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
22 shares @ 73.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.34
$5.83
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8113 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.06
$-12.17
- YES
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
104 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.57
$-0.36
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
133 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.46
$-0.33
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
43 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.15
$-0.32
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
24 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.13
$-0.06
- YES
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
28 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.07
$-0.27
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
18 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.06
$-0.08
- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.06
$-0.06
- YES
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
105 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.05
$-0.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.74Apr 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.85Apr 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.95Apr 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.87Apr 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.51Apr 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7.94Apr 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Apr 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$7.48Apr 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$6.94Apr 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.49Apr 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.70Apr 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.35Apr 11, 14:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 8, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 6, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $13.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.