Clumsy-Sleet
0x9879572ddbf1d6aac680587911858c5077b6bc99
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$19.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
1181 shares @ 71.7¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$885.88
$38.89
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
381 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$371.99
$13.13
- NO
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 84.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.21
$-1.35
- NO
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
90 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.42
$2.54
- NO
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
82 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.96
$0.70
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
55 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$54.04
$0.14
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
50 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
18 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.48
$0.48
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.40
$0.80
- NO
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.55
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.00May 4, 16:57 UTC
- REWARD$9.61May 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$39.08May 3, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$19.58May 3, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?$1.35May 2, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?$50.39May 1, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by June 30?$37.50May 1, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$57.27May 1, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$20.83May 1, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?$4.87May 1, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$20.81May 1, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$16.71May 1, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.00May 1, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$49.04May 1, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$53.94May 1, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$19.62May 1, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$200.00Apr 30, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$100.00Apr 30, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$13.41Apr 30, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?$3.60Apr 30, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $39.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".