Clumsy-Sleet
0x9879572ddbf1d6aac680587911858c5077b6bc99
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$19.9K
Total PnL
$790.09
Realised
$-2.80
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
5719 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.6K
$17.16
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
4033 shares @ 72.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.3K
$404.68
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
2044 shares @ 91.5¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.0K
$94.25
- NO
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
2081 shares @ 73.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$229.41
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
1384 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$-2.15
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
1240 shares @ 88.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$69.60
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$979.50
$9.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
840 shares @ 95.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$814.38
$15.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$767.60
$-5.20
- NO
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?
612 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$598.37
$22.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?$6.14Jul 29, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?$6.06Jul 29, 02:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.57Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.56Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.56Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.56Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.55Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.55Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.55Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.56Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.57Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$1.56Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.57Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.57Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.57Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$0.45Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.57Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$0.76Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.57Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$0.34Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $203.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.