Positive-Algebra
0x98a56d27684ef1972291b1b409328fc3d16ab2c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$72.53
Total PnL
$-52.28
Realised
$20.45
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
250 shares @ 39.7¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$72.53
$-26.73
- YES
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
450 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.06
- YES
Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
439 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
245 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?
229 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
218 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
205 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
183 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$51.20May 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$40.96May 15, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.03May 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$2.00May 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.46May 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$1.00Jan 19, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$4.00Jan 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$6.70Jan 11, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$6.00Jan 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 11, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$4.27Jan 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 11, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$5.00Jan 10, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?$6.00Jun 7, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Sarah be the next pope?$1.50May 8, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mario Grech be the next pope?$1.35May 7, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?$2.24May 6, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Francis Arinze be the next pope?$1.05Apr 25, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wim Eijk be the next pope?$2.50Apr 24, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?$1.97Apr 24, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".