Bony-Counterpart
0x98c85e0a531469c4be477e25f45ca658de6520be
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$24.59
Total PnL
$-576.45
Realised
$-1.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.00
$0.75
- NO
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$5.00
$0.35
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.96
$0.17
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.95
$0.34
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$4.67
$0.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on December 10?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.40
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- NO
Will the Miami Hurricanes be the #10 seed in the 2025-2026 College Football Playoff?
10 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-9.65
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $260?
10 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$5.00May 18, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$5.00May 18, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$5.00May 18, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$5.00May 18, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 3% and 6%?$5.00Apr 5, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be less than $9.0B at market close on IPO day?$5.00Apr 5, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 85% and 90%?$5.00Apr 5, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Binkley be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$5.00Apr 5, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 65% and 70%?$5.00Apr 5, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.00Apr 5, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be between $9.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?$5.00Apr 5, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 70% and 75%?$5.00Apr 5, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$5.00Apr 5, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be between $11.5B and $12.0B at market close on IPO day?$5.00Apr 5, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be between $10.5B and $11.0B at market close on IPO day?$5.00Apr 5, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 75% and 80%?$5.00Apr 5, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be between $9.0B and $9.5B at market close on IPO day?$5.00Apr 5, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher?$5.00Apr 5, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be between $10.0B and $10.5B at market close on IPO day?$5.00Apr 5, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 80% and 85%?$5.00Apr 5, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 02:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".