0x98d04f9eb52d08ef9697f6eb8d7cfe8d46e5f14a
0x98d04f9eb52d08ef9697f6eb8d7cfe8d46e5f14a
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$33.1K
Total PnL
$9.3K
Realised
$-605.35
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12992 shares @ 73.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$12.9K
$3.3K
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
6277 shares @ 36.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.9K
$3.7K
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
4384 shares @ 63.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.3K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
2400 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.4K
$578.40
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?
1484 shares @ 30.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.4K
$1.0K
- YES
Will John Cowan be the Republican nominee for GA-11?
1717 shares @ 59.3¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.2K
$165.15
- YES
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
1715 shares @ 59.8¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.1K
$71.86
- YES
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
772 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$734.05
$77.67
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
600 shares @ 68.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$589.80
$178.81
- YES
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
380 shares @ 87.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$369.36
$37.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Zurcher be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?$10.85Jun 13, 10:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$896.23Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$33.00Jun 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$5.80Jun 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$49.50Jun 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$16.50Jun 12, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$6.05Jun 12, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$3.30Jun 12, 00:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.58Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$2.75Jun 12, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$5.50Jun 12, 00:09 UTC
- REWARD$4.67Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?$766.85Jun 11, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$5.31Jun 11, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$47.42Jun 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$56.31Jun 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$105.76Jun 11, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$292.96Jun 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$4.40Jun 11, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $67.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.