Thrifty-Globe
0x991f81e6344646ed7f419d79ddf9e6a9dea6d3c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-770.59
Realised
$5.9K
Win rate
61%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 31?
3003 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-295.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 2?
1937 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-164.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 7?
1503 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-394.33
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 7?
1279 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-374.31
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 6?
1200 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-205.09
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 7?
1056 shares @ 76.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-804.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 18?
1000 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-103.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?
998 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-215.98
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on April 7?
777 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-409.45
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 18?
689 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-393.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$13.26Jun 27, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$0.70Jun 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$29.08Jun 27, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$6.99Jun 27, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$1.43Jun 27, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$2.14Jun 26, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$77.43Jun 25, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$10.18Jun 25, 11:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.66Apr 29, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on April 28?$0.65Apr 28, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 28?$1.47Apr 28, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$744.42Apr 28, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$15.35Apr 28, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$80.61Apr 28, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?$29.26Apr 28, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?$891.98Apr 28, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?$5.00Apr 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?$19.38Apr 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$438.76Apr 28, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$853.68Apr 28, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
76/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
70 closed markets, 61% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $94.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 10:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.