Stiff-Vegetarian
0x9926011eda6ecf48a8f61d5f1d02b385645a5d2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$88.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-388.54
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?
300 shares @ 32.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$40.50
$-58.35
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
281667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-809.51
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
11410 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-118.98
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
8053 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
7059 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
1879 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
1561 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-408.98
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- TATSURO TAIRA
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?$0.89Jun 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?$0.99Jun 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?$2.46Jun 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?$34.48Jun 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?$54.72Jun 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?$5.49Jun 17, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$94.49Jun 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$138.13Jun 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$103.31Jun 16, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$207.29Jun 16, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$59.00Jun 15, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$77.92Jun 15, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$50.00Jun 15, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$100.00Jun 15, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$60.00Jun 15, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$249.57Jun 2, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$51.99Jun 2, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$207.95Jun 2, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 1, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$103.99Jun 1, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $112.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.