Daring-Ephemeris
0x99412667a66f7563a23a7d98652e6b5d5b248877
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$12.26
Total PnL
$-50.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.42
$-0.07
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 9.7¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 3, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 3, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 25?$0.00Jun 3, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Jun 3, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 2, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 25?$1.25Jun 2, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.70Jun 2, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$1.15May 29, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?$1.01May 24, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 25?$1.01May 24, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 24, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 24, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 24, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 23?$1.67May 24, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 23?$1.02May 22, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 11?$1.25May 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 11?$1.01May 10, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 9?$1.04May 10, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".