Bony-Female
0x99441721fb7c283e28274b3f1da26533b9e72de2
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-161.21
Realised
$-21.85
Win rate
3%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 26?
174 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on June 4?
70 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
46 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?
45 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- NO
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
35 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti?
30 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic$1.62Aug 3, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMIasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo$3.76Jul 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo$2.05Jul 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$0.22Jul 13, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?$0.51Jul 13, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$2.72Jul 13, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$2.99Jul 13, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.11Jul 13, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?$1.38Jul 1, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.03Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.03Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?$0.12Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.21Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump meets with Putin by December 31?$3.00Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.94Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$3.80Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.20Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$4.15Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?$4.97Jul 1, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
32 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 03:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.