Aching-Centurion
0x99491c368f5c8343f4482d7f456fa8eb20613f3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$253.32
Total PnL
$-332.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
230 shares @ 64.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.14
$37.75
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 52.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.00
$-67.00
- YES
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.50
$-15.50
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.04
$-7.96
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.10
$-29.90
- YES
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$-1.80
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
105 shares @ 12.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-10.75
- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.57
$-9.43
- YES
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
50 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-1.42
- YES
Will the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
550 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-36.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$115.72Jun 12, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$50.94Jun 11, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$50.52Jun 11, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$92.49Jun 11, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$50.69Jun 10, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$15.00May 11, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$0.36May 8, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?$2.08May 8, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$10.35May 8, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$5.20May 8, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$20.57May 8, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$235.20May 8, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$25.00May 8, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$36.07May 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$6.21May 7, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$11.52May 6, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?$5.00Apr 25, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$10.00Apr 25, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$33.03Apr 25, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$10.00Apr 24, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $29.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 06:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.